Mrs. B is ready to start trading commodities. She enters her futures
trading program educated primarily as a stock market investor. She
has read a little about futures, has spoken with a few people and is
on pretty good terms with her futures broker. As she begins her
trading, she is willing to share a few of her thoughts with you,
She is giving herself plenty of time to make a profit from her
futures trading. Since the results she achieves in futures will
be compared to the results she achieves by having one-half her money
out at interest, she has until December 31st, 2001, to
make this comparison. This gives her a full eleven months to try to
earn a profit from her futures program.
Mrs. B has read that it is quite possible to lose money when
trading in futures and options. She is well aware of this. She
has signed all the necessary disclosure agreements that her broker
has provided her with and she knows the risks that are involved when
she makes the decision to commit $5,000 of her risk capital to
futures trading.
Well before she begins trading, Mrs. B has come to the conclusion
that to succeed in the futures market she will have to become self-reliant.
She believes she will be unable to depend on any one person to make
her successful. This is a carryover conclusion from her years of
trading in the stock market where self-reliance was an important
characteristic of Mrs. B.
In this effort to become self-reliant, Mrs.
B is willing to "look
the fool" at any time to anyone who examines her
trading methods or her trading style. She has concluded that the
route to financial success is most likely a path not well traveled
and if others think her foolish for using strange trading or
investing methods, this doesn't bother her one bit. She believes that
most people who become self-reliant and successful probably seemed
strange to others from time to time.
Mrs. B does not plan to be pushed or coerced into trades by anyone.
She calculates that if she doesn't make a single trade all year long
she will at least break even. Breaking even is better than losing
money, sometimes a lot better. If someone suggests to Mrs. B that she
should overtrade or trade markets when she is not ready for them, she
will thank that person for the advice and then return to her own
self-reliant foolish method of investing which never involves overtrading.
Mrs. B has a long-term outlook. She wants to succeed
long-term. She wants to succeed in 2001 and 2002 and 2003 and 2023.
She wants to end up with a trading method to pass onto her children.
It is, therefore, this desire to succeed over the long-term that
forces her to evaluate every trading method with regard to how that
method works over the long-term. Buying on Monday and selling on
Friday may work next week but it will never be a reliable trading
method for the long-term. Therefore, she will reject that method of
investing along with many others.
Mrs. B also does not plan to use any moving
averages when trading commodity futures. While it is true that
she did use moving averages when trading in the stock market, as
illustrated in lessons 18 and 19, she does not plan to use moving
averages for trading commodity futures. She will explain why a little
later on as these lessons progress.
Mrs. B does plan, however, to use robots in her trading. In
fact, she will use them all the time. Of course, she could use
pawns or she could use soldiers or she could use human sacrifices,
but she prefers to use robots. Her robots even have names. She
will tell you the names of these robots from time to time as she
makes use of them in her trading plan.
Mrs. B wants to succeed. To succeed she believes she will have
to identify the source of any trading suggestion she receives. She
believes that she will have to tag each source of information as
adequate-useful or as inadequate-not useful. She believes that only
by this method can she ever become a self-reliant and successful
futures trader.
Finally, Mrs. B accepts all markets for trading. She will
trade any market at any time as long as that market meets her
conditions for trading. She will not trade all markets at all
times but she may trade any market at any time. She is both
predictable and unpredictable. Predictable in that she will trade any
given market, unpredictable in that only Mrs. B and her robots know
precisely when she will make her move.
The markets that Mrs. B will be following will be announced early
next week. Shortly thereafter, the next lesson of Mrs. B will be
posted. Mrs. B is ready to begin. Click here to proceed.